AL Central Odds & Best Bets 2023

Domenic Lunardo
Last Updated: Jul 21, 2023

The American League Central division is one of Major League Baseball’s weakest divisions, featuring four teams with sub-.500 records.

The Minnesota Twins lead the division, followed closely by the Cleveland Guardians, who sit 2.5 games back. The Detroit Tigers sit in third place, followed by the Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals at the bottom.

Who will claim the Central by the season’s end? And what can we expect from a betting standpoint as we inch closer to the MLB postseason?

Let’s examine the latest AL Central odds and make our best bet and sleeper pick selections for the division.

AL Central Winner Odds 2023

MLB odds used for these best bets are from Thursday, July 20, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Minnesota Twins (-265)
  • Cleveland Guardians (+250)
  • Detroit Tigers (+3500)
  • Chicago White Sox (+4000)
  • Kansas City Royals (+80000)

The Twins (-265) are heavy favorites to hoist the division crown. The good news for prospective bettors is that there is plenty of baseball left to be played, and a lot can change between now and October.

Be that as it may, the AL Central also offers some attractive betting options and underlying value when it comes to teams further down the standings.

AL Central Winner Best Bet

Cleveland Guardians (+250)

After losing to the New York Yankees in the ALDS last season, the Guardians have struggled to find consistency in 2023. Still, Cleveland only trails the Twins by 2.5 games with plenty of baseball left.

From an advanced metrics perspective, the Guardians have performed much better than their 47-49 (.490) record would indicate.

Cleveland ranks third in the American League in xBA (.259) and fifth in both opponents’ xOBA (.306) and opponents’ SLG (.392), despite injuries to starters Shane Bieber and Triston McKenzie.

A late-season heater from Terry Francona’s men could propel the Guardians into the playoffs, making their (+250) price point an intriguing one.

AL Central Winner Sleeper Pick

Detroit Tigers (+3500)

Winners of seven of their past 11 games, the Tigers continue to stick around in the AL Central, sitting 5.5 games back of the first-place Twins.

After winning an abysmal 66 games a season ago, the Tigers are vastly improved this year and hold an outside shot at a postseason berth. This turnaround is primarily due to the youth movement in Detroit led by Spencer Torkelson, Kerry Carpenter, and Riley Greene.

The Tigers’ pitching staff has also kept them competitive, ranking sixth in the American League in HardHit% (39.5) and wOBA (.307) and fifth in OBP (.305), per Baseball Savant.

Although Detroit (+3500) is a long shot, it is worth a sprinkle of a wager.


Domenic Lunardo

Domenic is a freelance sportswriter at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for The Hockey Writers, Prime Time Sports Talk, and Faceoff Sports Network. Over the past few years, Domenic has provided analysis more frequently in the sports betting industry and maintains an active presence on Twitter, primarily posting daily betting cards across the NHL, NFL, MLB, NBA, college basketball, and soccer. Although Domenic has a diverse sporting background, he specializes in hockey and football.

Related articles