The Atlanta Braves are running away with the National League East, but the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins have winning records and playoff aspirations of their own.
The highly disappointing New York Mets and the rebuilding Washington Nationals are rounding out the rear.
Let’s look at the latest NL East betting odds as we get set for the second half of the 2023 MLB season.
NL East Winner Odds 2023
MLB odds used for these best bets are from Monday, July 17, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Atlanta Braves (-3500)
- Philadelphia Phillies (+2800)
- Miami Marlins (+7000)
- New York Mets (+30000)
- Washington Nationals (+80000)
The Braves are the chalkiest favorite to win their division in MLB, and it’s not even close.
The teams with the next shortest odds to win a division are the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central and the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West at (-270).
NL East Winner Best Bet
Atlanta Braves (-3500)
According to Baseball Reference, Atlanta has the second-best Pythagorean win-loss record (60-32) and is projected by FanGraphs and Baseball Prospectus to win the NL East.
Still, the Braves’ odds are too short to love tying up significant money on them to win the division. The risk outweighs the reward.
- Check out Atlanta’s odds to win the National League Pennant.
It’s likely best to avoid betting on a division winner in the NL East due to how lopsided the odds are, but tacking the Braves into a division-winner parlay is one way to make the most of their short odds.
NL East Winner Sleeper Pick
Philadelphia Phillies (+2800)
The Phillies can’t catch the Braves without Atlanta stumbling.
Regardless, Philadelphia has the star power to chip away at the NL East lead by stringing together a lengthy winning streak or multiple lengthy winning streaks.
Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler can pitch like aces when they’re sharp, and the Phillies have quality depth behind them.
Philadelphia is unlikely to unseat Atlanta in the NL East, but it’s the only viable sleeper option. So, if you want to dabble on the longshot Phillies, tread carefully.